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Dollar Upheaval: This Time is Different

What can we learn from the high-frequency responses in bond and currency markets to the recent tariff announcement about the status of the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency? The dollar depreciated by 6.5% after April 1 in spite of rising U.S. interest rates and market volatility, which is highly unusual. The willingness of foreign investors to pay extra for the safety of dollar safe assets, including but not limited to U.S. Treasury, has declined. These asset market responses suggest that investors started to question the role of the dollar as the reserve currency.

Author(s)
Zhengyang Jiang
Arvind Krishnamurthy
Hanno Lustig
Robert J. Richmond
Chenzi Xu
Publication Date
April, 2025